|
When News Corp. Chairman Rupert Murdoch recently suggested
he might put free digital video recorders in DirecTV’s 10
million subscriber homes within a year of taking control of the
company from Hughes Electronics, the sound of hearts stopping along
6th Avenue was deafening.
Up until now the broadcast TV industry
pretty much pooh-poohed DVRs (or PVRs, your choice) since there
are only about 800,000 TiVos in homes today.
But a report by the Yankee Group estimates that
by 2007 nearly 20 percent of all U.S. homes will be able to fast-forward
TV commercials.
Right now analysts believe that News Corp.
owns all the technology it needs to replace TiVo at some point,
and News Corp.'s BSkyB is already essentially distributing free
DVRs throughout Great Britain's more mature multi-channel market.
Meanwhile, DirecTV rival EchoStar recently
put DVR Replay into its set-top boxes, while several cable providers,
including Time Warner Cable and Cox Communications, have begun to
offer DVRs to their customers.
I only bought a TiVo unit when I read that
TiVo, under pressure from the TV industry, had agreed not to include
that all important commercial-skipping feature in its future models.
Certainly, there are some things not to like
about TiVo.
If you have it in your bedroom it makes
as much noise as an air conditioner. It is nigh-on impossible to
watch a different channel while it is recording. And sometimes the
commercial-skip feature bites off a little of the program, too.
But even with those shortcomings, the device
is a godsend.
Has the TV industry learned anything from
the record industry? Since their initial reaction was to try and
get DVRs outlawed, then pressure DVR makers to eliminate the commercial-skip
feature, it appears not.
Will we have to sit through commercials
where TV industry hairdressers and sound technicians whine about
how DVRs are going to hurt the “little people?”
Rather than embrace the inevitable march of technology
and figure out how to accommodate their viewing public--who in time
will put the $60 billion spent annually on all forms of television
advertising in real jeopardy--broadcasters are doing everything
they can to alienate them.
There are more commercial interruptions
than ever in history, approaching a full third of every hour on
some channels. Lynch mobs are already on the path of the network
executive who invented those translucent logos that now permanently
reside in the lower right hand corner of nearly every show.
Pop-ups that cover content were and are hugely
unpopular online, so whose grand idea was it to port them over to
TV? Like we won’t mind because they are program promos?
Sooner or later the TV titans will turn
to the viewing public for support on issues relating to commercial
skipping, and it simply won’t be there.
All the nonsense about commercial-ladened
“free” programming will fall on deaf ears, since everybody
is already paying either a cable company or satellite provider to
get decent reception (and "The Wire" and" Street
Time," along with "The Sopranos," "Sex in the
City," "Carnivale" and "Six Feet Under").
So nobody thinks TV is “free” anymore.
If Jennifer Aniston wants to hold you guys up
for $2 million a show, that’s your problem, not mine.
I managed to get through three or four
leading detectives on "NYPD Blue" and major cast changes
on "ER" without missing a show. I believe I can
live without her, too.
Besides, there is something weird about
a business where you can come in nearly last in the ratings and
still make gobs of money.
Sooner or later, advertisers are going to realize
that they are throwing good money after bad down the black hole
of “lower ratings but new, higher prices.”
DVRs just might be what gets them there.
|