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Paris Hilton is one hot babe on
the internet, thanks to the buzz over a home-vid sex romp filmed two
years ago and now zipping around the web.
But will all that buzz work in Fox's favor to build audience
for its new reality show starring the celeb heiress, “The Simple
Life,” which debuts tonight?
Don't bet the farm on it, advise media buyers.
Paris sex tape mania, which shot her to the top of search
sites Lycos and Google, should draw the curious for the first
several airings, but after that buyers suspect it will sink like a
rock in the old mill pond.
Call it the Anna Nicole syndrome. We all
remember Anna Nicole Smith, if vaguely.
Smith’s E! show debuted two years ago to a huge public bow but then
lost half its audience as viewers realized that there wasn't much to
watch beyond an overweight Anna Nicole strut and primp.
There simply was much there there.
The question is whether there is even as much there
with Hilton.
Hilton may have what it takes to attract web voyeurs to a sex
romp, but there's little reason to believe that she can sustain viewer
interest in a reality show built around the notion of a celebrity
living on an Arkansas farm among critters and lacking the amenities
of Hollywood life.
“Controversy is always good, and I think also the
fact that it’s Paris Hilton might do well with the elusive male
18-34 viewer. That’s also one of Fox’s core viewers, so it might
help it,” says Brad Adgate, senior vice president and corporate
research director at Horizon.
“However, television can only go so far as an
ad-supported media. Certainly internet videos can go a lot further.”
For sure, Fox is desperate for a hit coming off of a dismal
November sweeps, in which it dipped 14 percent from last year’s
adults 18-49 average. It needs to make up for fall duds “The Next
Joe Millionaire” and “Skin,” which dragged down Monday and
Tuesday nights.
Adgate says an adult 18-49 rating of 5.0 or above for “The
Simple Life,” would be a coup for Fox.
But with Fox having produced three of this season's biggest
disasters (“The Next Joe Millionaire,” “Skin” and “Luis”)
there’s the very real possibility that much of the target
audience isn’t even that aware of the show.
Hilton and “Simple Life” co-star Nicole Richie certainly
fit the mold for reality television stars: The Hilton Hotels heiress
and daughter of songster Lionel Richie are famous for nothing more
than being themselves.
But if audiences can warm to them outside the Page Six gossip
arena is questionable. The commercials show them swearing as they
pluck chickens, milk cows and serve fast food.
The one-note gags, though, grow tiresome after a
half-hour. And in a world where ditzy Jessica Simpson needs no setup
to inspire eye rolls on her high-rated MTV show “Newlyweds,” “Life”
seems a tad too gimmicky.
“Whether this can be ‘American Idol’ or ‘Joe
Millionaire,’ the first one, or even ‘Boot Camp’ or 'Temptation
Island,' whether this will resonate with viewers for long-term
success and help Fox out of the ratings doldrums it had during the
November sweeps, that’s another matter,” Adgate says.
“I think it has to be good to carry it off. It will bring
the curious to the show because of the publicity surrounding it, but
whether it’s compelling enough to keep watching, we’ll have to
see some comedic effects taking place.”
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