'Success 
for AOL, MSN, and Yahoo depends on more than the delivery of more page views and the registration of more users.
They must create a deeper relationship with their subscribers, touch more aspects of their lives, and be more indispensable than any other
 medium.'
 

 

 

Huge clout
of Big 3 portals

Four out of five use AOL, MSN or Yahoo services

By Michael Katz

    In theory, to the extent that theories matter on the ever-changing web, the major portals would begin to fade in importance as Americans became more familiar with the internet. 
   Rather than launch each internet journal from, say, Yahoo, users would go directly to their favorite destinations.
    But that appears not to be happening.
     Rather, the portals appear to be digging even deeper roots into the internet population even as users gain in sophistication.
    According to a new study, an overwhelming 84 percent of U.S. online households rely on the three major web portals, AOL, MSN, and Yahoo for everyday internet services.
  “We wanted to look at how deeply embedded in online households these portals are, and how it bodes for these companies,” says Rick Villars, vice president of internet strategies at IDC, a research group.
    “We had always gone with the supposition that portals play a significant role in U.S. households. But we were surprised by the high percentage of penetration already in place with one or more portals.”
    The report finds Yahoo to be the most integrated of the major portals, with users leveraging e-mail, customization, and messaging as part of a seamless service. 
    Nevertheless, Villars says MSN is in a best position to improve its position over the next five years, with distinct competitive advantages over both Yahoo and AOL.
    Unlike AOL and MSN, Yahoo doesn’t have the backing of a large parent with deep pockets, which hurts its chances of becoming the dominant internet portal.
   AOL suffers the disadvantage of its monthly subscription charge, at a time when its subscriber growth is slowing. Only its instant messaging service is available at no charge.
    In contrast, MSN, while it also sells access subscriptions, is free to all households to use without paying for access.
   “It’s MSN’s game to lose,” Villars says.
    But MSN is not without problems.
   It is the most fragmented of the web portals, says Villars, which he attributes to the history of MSN’s construction via acquisition. 
   For example, he points out that many Hotmail members signed up for the e-mail service before it was bought by Microsoft and therefore may see it as a stand-alone service and not part of MSN. 
   In terms of both household income and age, Hotmail use is significantly higher than either My MSN or MSN Messenger in the lower-income and younger age groups.
   Villars says this can be interpreted one of two ways.
   “Either MSN has a great opportunity to use Hotmail as a beachhead for expanding its reach, or MSN is not effectively integrating Hotmail with its other MSN properties.” he says.
     “It is too early to determine the outcome, but MSN must be sensitive to this variation.”
    One of the next steps for the evolving portals involves migrating their existing customer bases to broadband.
   As U.S. internet households increase in uptake of broadband connections, the portals’ primary distribution relationships will change, says Villars. 
   He says they must develop marketing and information sharing systems that integrate more closely with the broadband companies’ sales, marketing, billing, and customer care systems.
   “Success for AOL, MSN, and Yahoo depends on more than the delivery of more page views and the registration of more users," says Villars. 
   “They must create a deeper relationship with their subscribers, touch more aspects of their lives, and be more indispensable than any other medium.”


U.S. Internet Household Use of Portal Services

           Q. Have any household members used any of the following for personal Internet use at least one time in the past month from home?


Service

Percentage

AOL

38

 

AOL Instant Messenger

33

 

AOL Mail

32

 

Hotmail

31

 

My MSN

29

 

Yahoo! Mail

28

 

My Yahoo!

23

 

Yahoo! Messenger

19

 

Microsoft Messenger

16

 

Source: IDC


August 29, 2002© 2002 Media Life


-Michael Katz is a New York writer.


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