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Forget
18-49. Hot
TV demo is really 25-54.
Advertisers
value older as Americans age
By Kevin Downey
Whom do
television advertisers most want to reach?
That's easy: adults ranging in age between 18 and 49.
Why do we know this? Because we read it everywhere.
Trouble is, it's not true, as it turns out. Or at
least it's less true now than in the past.
In
reality, television advertisers are most anxious to reach a slightly older
group of viewers, those 25 to 54 years in age.
"Over
the past five to 10 years adults 18-49 have aged a bit and that
demo--adults 25-54--now has the concentration of that increase," says
Kris Magel, vice president of national broadcast at Optimedia
International U.S.
It appears tradition as much as anything accounts for
the 18-49 focus, in no small part because Nielsen widely reports the 18-49
demo ratings and because those ratings are then picked up and reported by
the trades.
The influence of that reporting is felt widely across
the media business, affecting countless media planning, buying and selling
decisions.
The increasing
importance of the older demo is confirmed in a study called Mediaenomics
from The Myers Group, to be issued next week, that polled 250 advertisers
and agency executives.
"Clients have
very narrow, refined demos that they use for marketing and creative. When
it comes to media, though, they still use relatively broad demo
groups," observes Jack Myers, chief economist and chief executive
officer of The Myers Group.
"Adults 18-49
is the second most popular but 25-54 is, by far, the predominant
demo."
There are a number
of reasons for the shifting emphasis to the older demo.
The population is
aging, for one thing, as Optimedia's Magel points out. And a number of
advertising categories, like pharmaceuticals and financial institutions
have beefed up ad spending in the past few years, and they tend to target
older consumers.
"Those
marketers that need to attract a highly affluent market are well aware
that empty-nesters often have dramatically higher discretionary income.
But for broad-based marketers, it’s a reflection of the aging of
America," says John Rash, senior vice president and director of
broadcast negotiations at Campbell Mithun.
Another media
buyer agrees: "I would think more than anything it would be a
response to the graying of America, which is where the money is. And some
of the advertisers may have been in such a rush to reach younger consumers
that they alienated older consumers.
"Plus, with
parents being older now, women 25-54 is just as relevant as women 18-49
for packaged goods advertisers," he says.
The shift to
adults 25-54 primarily impacts broadcast buyers.
That’s because
Nielsen ratings have long been the standard for determining television
advertising costs. Nielsen is largely limited to measuring ratings based
on age and gender demographics.
While that has been
viewed as a less than perfect system for years, it’s still the primary
currency for the selling and buying of ad time on TV, even while planners
have more in-depth information to work with.
There are better
tools emerging for buyers that may eventually allow buying and selling to
be done with targets like "purchasers of domestic cars."
Until that time,
buyers say they use a variety of research tools to better understand their
clients’ customers.
That
research ultimately results in the development of a demographic target
that represents a client’s best prospects.
"Nielsen is a
good base," says Magel, "but then you want to look at
qualitative data. We tend to cross-reference a lot of information."
The new emphasis
on the older demo that has come out of that research suggests that
networks like CBS, which has an older audience, will benefit while
networks targeting younger viewers will suffer.
Media buyers say
the shift is subtle, though, and should not result in any dramatic
changes.
In general, it’s
easy to reach adults 25-54 because they are such a large group and make up
a good portion of all TV viewing. That makes them inexpensive to reach as
well, relative to smaller, niche audiences.
The result is that
target audiences that are tougher to come by, like young men, will
continue to be in high demand and command higher prices.
The likely outcome
is that younger-skewing networks may feel a pinch from the shift to older
consumers but not much.
"So many
networks skew adults 18-49 and adults 25-54, so I don’t think it’s a
major detriment to anyone," says Andrew Donchin, senior vice
president and director of national broadcasting at Carat.
John Rash concurs:
"It happens to coincide that the older a person is, the higher the
propensity to use broad-based media, especially network TV.
"But cable
penetration is so ubiquitous now, there is not a big demo difference
between niche and general networks."
Although buyers say the
shift to 25-54 has been evolving for several years, the industry-wide
attachment to adults 18-49 remains firmly entrenched.
Part of the reason for
that, they say, is because the trade media has latched onto adults 18-49
as a simple representation of a wide-ranging group of target audiences.
"But on the
buying side," Donchin says, "it has always been more evenly
split between 18-49 and 25-54."
-Kevin Downey is a
staff writer for Media Life.

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