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Passive
meter is dead but will it be mourned?
A few researchers say promise was overblown
By Dave Lindorff
In late December, Media Life magazine
learned that after years of claiming that a passive people meter was just around the
corner, Nielsen Media Research had quietly decided to stop research on developing such a
system. The promise of the system was that it would accurately measure who was
watching television in a given room in a sample household, as well as what they were
watching, without viewers having to enter data into a diary or measurement meter. Nielsen
says it has shifted its researchers to a new more crucial problem, one a spokesman termed
a survival issue--developing a system that can reliably decipher what's being watched in a
digitized and multi-media household where viewing is done on TV, TiVo system and
computer.
The response to news that the passive people meter is dead
appears to be mixed among buyers, planners and researchers in the media community, with
some saying it is still badly needed, and others saying the idea never would have worked
anyway. Here are some of the responses.
Erwin Ephron, a partner in the consulting firm of Ephron Papazian & Ephron:
The passive metering idea was a sick puppy to start with.
We don't have the technology to do it, and the set meter [that measures household viewing]
is passive anyway.
That's a little embarrassing for Nielsen because they've been
waving the passive meter at people for a decade.
But why do we need a
passive people meter?
Because people don't cooperate easily. Without a passive
meter, though, the only thing you don't have is viewer data, and viewer data is relatively
easily modeled.
In a set-meter panel, you know the family size, and you know the
demographics of the family, so modeling is fairly simple. It's really only for a limited
primetime period that you have much viewer variation anyway.
Helen Johnston, head of research at Grey Advertising:
We're all somewhat resigned about Nielsen's decision. Passive metering
is important, because right now we're still relying on people pushing buttons, and we know
that doesn't work well.
We know, for instance, that people leave the room during
commercial breaks. Without a passive system we don't know the audience for our
commercials. But it looks like we're not going to get passive metering from Nielsen.
It's unfortunate that we're having to choose between getting passive
metering or a system that can monitor digital viewing. Why couldn't we have both?
I can't believe that this giant multi-billion-dollar business
can't come up with a way to measure what we need measured. We're not impoverished, and we
shouldn't have to make do.
Modeling, which people like Erwin [Ephron] are suggesting as an
alternative, is just making up data you don't want to measure. We shouldn't have to make
do like that.
Alan Wurtzel, executive president of research and media development at NBC:
Everybody understands that the only way we're ever going to get a more
accurate system of measurement of TV viewing is a passive system. No one says it's going
to be easy, but so far nothing's even come out of the lab.
After years of research the only thing I've seen at Neilsen's lab is an image
recognition system that's as big as a house.
It's a shame that they're giving up, though. I don't quarrel with
their doing research into digital signal recognition. Its important but passive metering
is important too.
David Poltrack, executive vice president for research and planning at CBS:
From the beginning this passive monitoring thing always seemed to
me to be something that could never deal with the major issue of cooperation. You always
had the problems of cost, of probable resistance by people to having these
face-recognition systems in their homes, and of the fact that it was never going to be 100
percent accurate.
It seems to me that an awful lot of technology was going into something
that kept being presented as a theoretical goal.
The issues should always have been how do we get bigger samples
and how do we get individual commercial measurement. These are a lot more important than
developing a passive meter.
Nicholas Schiavone, former head of research at NBC, and now a private
consultant:
Nielsen had passive metering hardware and software, but
only Nielsen knows what their intent was. What they had was never very robust. When they
showed it to me it misidentified me as one of the Nielsen engineers!
But even if you could resolve the technical issues, you still
have issues like privacy and practicality.
A fundamental problem with passive metering is that if you want all TV
use in a household measured, then you have to measure TV use in the bedroom, where 50
percent of families have a set.
Nielsen called the crucial elements of their passive system an
"imaging device" and an "illuminator," but it wouldn't take someone
long to realize that an imaging device is a camera and an illuminator is a light, and how
many people are going to want a camera and a light in their bedroom?
Passive metering was an option that became an obsession. It was an
effort to resolve some of the cooperation problems Nielsen was having with its people
meters and diaries, but it is in no way adequate for measuring TV viewing today.
You have had advertisers and agencies saying we need better and better
measurements, but you've had broadcasters and media companies saying yeah, but who's going
to pay for it?
Roger Percy, chairman of RDP Associates, who attempted in the late 1980s to develop
a competing rating service that would have used a partially passive metering system based
on infrared monitoring of the number of bodies in a room:
Technology has never really been the problem. The problem is whether the
market is ready for the information and willing to pay for it.
We had an active/passive meter which measured the people in the room. It was
very accurate. The only problem we had was that it counted dogs heavier than 70 lbs. as
people, but we found that only 0.5 percent of households had dogs that large.
The trouble was that when we introduced our system in 1987, there was a
market crash, and the media industry went through huge layoffs. Our company didn't survive
that crisis. Other would-be Nielsen competitors also gave up at that time.
I don't think you'll see any revival of an effort to develop a passive
metering system. The broadcast industry that basically pays for the ratings is satisfied
with Nielsen.
Bruce Goerlich, senior vice president and worldwide media research director for
MediaVest:
In a perfect world, I'd like to see Nielsen continue with
passive-metering research, but I agree that they should focus right now on this massive
onslaught of sources that don't come to the viewer by channels.
The priority today has to be getting ourselves ready for the shift to
digitization, to TiVo, the convergence of media, and to the nature of what TV is.
Gayle Metzger, president of SRI, which attempted to establish a competitive TV rating
product earlier in the 1990s.
Can passive metering be done? Yes. Is it a wise thing to do? That
depends on the scale of the project.
In today's world, with all the viewing choices available, getting an accurate
report on what's being viewed is important. The individuals who are actually watching
aren't all that important. The big variable is whether the set is on and what it's tuned
to because the makeup of families in households isn't all that variable.
You have to look at the costs involved. Putting cameras in every TV
room in a household is expensive, and it's not wise for your base measurement.
-Dave Lindorff covers research and television for
Media Life.
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