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'Serenity' as a new
box office paradigm


Sci fi tale driven by a word-of-mouth strategy

Oct 3, 2005

Just what makes for a good movie has been a head-scratcher in Hollywood since its earliest days, but in the case of “Serenity,” which opened this weekend, it would seem a definite no-go. The movie springs out of a TV series that bombed big-time, “Firefly,” which aired just 11 episodes in the 2002-'03 season before Fox put the knife to it.

And based on this weekend, the conventional Hollywood thinking, very much of the blockbuster mindset these days, would seem to have it right. “Serenity” was No. 2 at the box office, though with a very modest take, just over $10 million.

But producer Joss Whedon thinks he's on to something with “Serenity,” and he quite well may be. It's the idea that his movie will start slowly but will hang on the charts rather than do the quick fade of so many blockbusters. That's because it's targeted to an appreciative audience rather than at the general movie-going population, which has a habit of disappointing Hollywood more and more with each blockbuster flop.

That target audience of “Serenity,” which is about a group of galactic outcasts who travel through space in a ship of that name, are the former fans of  “Firefly” who bought hundreds of thousands of DVDs of the show in late 2003, after it was canceled.

 

There's more evidence, in fact, that the blockbuster formula makes less and less sense with the shorter screening windows, ever-rising production and marketing costs, and the competition from at-home viewing options, most notably DVDs of relatively current movies and canceled TV shows like, say, “Firefly.” 


By contrast, there seem to be more and more movies of the steady-pace-wins-the-race mindset, and they include “The 40-Year-Old Virgin,” “The Wedding Crashers” and “March of the Penguins,” all movies with comparatively modest premieres that seemed to hang on, each week holding a spot on the top-grossing movies over the prior weekend. These movies have several advantages, and not the least is their lower cost. So if they do tank, the pain is far less.

But more to the point, their backers have a more confident sense of who will come out to seem them, regardless of what reviewers say or don't say. They prosper on word of mouth among like-minded people.

Whedon, not expecting a smash opening but hoping to build such buzz, began previewing “Serenity” several months before its release. He tells the Dallas Morning News: “It’s not about a shock-and-awe first weekend; it’s about word of mouth. It’s about whether the film has legs.”

Meanwhile, the Jodie Foster airplane movie “Flightplan” took the No. 1 spot for the second week at the box office over the weekend, bringing in another $15.04 million, or about $5 million ahead of "Serenity."
 

“Crash” remained the No. 1 movie on Billboard’s video rental chart for the week ended Sept. 25, with the baseball romantic comedy “Fever Pitch” the top new release at No. 2.

 

Seven new releases scattered the top 10 of the Billboard 200 album chart during the week ended Sept. 25, led by Disturbed’s “Ten Thousand Fists,” which came in at No. 1. Kanye West’s “Late Registration” was the chart’s top returning album at No. 3.

 

In books, James Frey’s drug memoir “A Million Little Pieces” topped The New York Times’ nonfiction paperback bestseller list during the week ended Sept. 24, its first in release, and also topped USA Today’s book chart for the week ended Sept. 25.

 

 

TOP MOVIES
Weekend Box Office Estimates
Weekend of September 30-October 2, 2005

Rank

MOVIE

Engagements

Box office (millions)

1

Flightplan (Touchstone)

3424

$15.04

2

Serenity (Universal)

2188

$10.14

3

Tim Burton’s Corpse Bride (Warner Bros.)

3204

$9.76

4

A History of Violence (New Line)

1340

$8.20

5

Into the Blue (MGM/Columbia)

2789

$7.00

6

Just Like Heaven (Dreamworks SKG)

3543

$6.10

7

The Exorcism of Emily Rose (Screen Gems)

3004

$4.40

8

Roll Bounce (Fox Searchlight)

1661

$4.03

9

The Greatest Game Ever Played (Disney)

1014

$3.75

10

The 40-Year-Old Virgin (Universal)

2152

$3.11

Source: Yahoo Movies

 

TOP VIDEO RENTALS
Week ending September 25, 2005

Rank

MOVIE

1

Crash (Lions Gate)

2

Fever Pitch (FoxVideo)

3

Monster-in-Law (New Line)

4

The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy (Touchstone)

5

Sahara (Paramount)

6

Guess Who (Columbia TriStar)

7

The Wedding Date (Universal)

8

Beauty Shop (MGM)

9

Sin City (Dimension)

10

The Ring 2 (Dreamworks)

Source: Billboard

 

BESTSELLING ALBUMS
Week ending September 25, 2005

Rank

TITLE

Last week

Weeks on chart

1

Disturbed, Ten Thousands Fists

-

1

2

Bon Jovi, Have a Nice Day

-

1

3

Kanye West, Late Registration

2

4

4

Various Artists, So Amazing: An All-Star Tribute to Luther Vandross

-

1

5

Barbra Streisand, Guilty Pleasures

-

1

6

David Banner, Certified

-

1

7

Coheed and Cambria, Good Apollo I’m Burning Star IV

-

1

8

The Black Eyed Peas, Monkey Business

8

16

9

Paul Wall, The Peoples Champ

1

2

10

T.I. Presents the P$C, 25 to Life

-

1

Source: Billboard

 

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLING BOOKS
Week ending September 24, 2005

Fiction (hardback)

Rank

TITLE

Last week

Weeks on chart

1

Anansi Boys by Neil Gaiman

-

1

2

Goodnight Nobody by Jennifer Weiner

-

1

3

The Da Vinci Code by Dan Brown

1

132

4

The March by E.L. Doctorow

-

1

5

On Beauty by Zadie Smith

7

2

Nonfiction (hardback)

1

The World is Flat by Thomas L. Friedman

1

25

2

1776 by David McCullough

2

18

3

Freakonomics by Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner

3

24

4

Blink by Malcolm Gladwell

4

37

5

The Tender Bar by J.R. Moehringer

10

3

Fiction (paperback)

1

Hour Game by David Baldacci

1

4

2

Night Tales: Night Shield, Night Moves by Nora Roberts

3

4

3

The Kite Runner by Khaled Hosseini

5

55

4

50 Harbor Street by Debbie Macomber

2

4

5

Payback by Fern Michaels

4

4

Nonfiction (paperback)

1

A Million Little Pieces by James Frey

-

1

2

The Tipping Point by Malcolm Gladwell

1

59

3

Devil in the White City by Erik Larson

2

85

4

Chronicles by Bob Dylan

-

2

5

Guns, Germs, and Steel by Jared Diamond

3

160

Source: New York Times

 

USA TODAY BESTSELLING BOOKS
Week ending September 25, 2005

Rank

TITLE

Last week

1

A Million Little Pieces by James Frey

-

2

Eldest: Inheritance, Book II by Christopher Paolini

1

3

Natural Cures “They” Don’t Want You to Know About by Kevin Trudeau

2

4

Hour Game by David Baldacci

3

5

Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince by J.K. Rowling

4

6

The Kite Runner by Khaled Hosseini

7

7

Why Do Men Have Nipples? by Mark Leyner and Billy Goldberg

5

8

Eragon by Christopher Paolini

6

9

The World is Flat by Thomas L. Friedman

11

10

Goodnight Nobody by Jennifer Weiner

-

Source: USA Today



Heidi Dawley is a staff writer for Media Life.




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