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New media
Internet 2008: Making the connection
By Heidi Dawley
Dec 18, 2007 - 1:04:48 AM

The wonderful thing about the internet for users is that it's ever-changing.

The not-so-good thing is that the pace of change is hard for marketers to keep up with, and that's no more so than with social networking.

Social networking exploded in 2007, led by MySpace and Facebook, but marketers are still struggling to figure out how to capitalize on that growth, even as they hike their ad spending on those sites. That will be among the big challenges of 2008.

“We are in a period of experimentation,” observes David Schatsky, president of JupiterResearch, the research outfit.

“Social media as a phenomenon, and what a social media experience is, continues to evolve. If Facebook and MySpace didn’t change, then 2008 would be a year when marketers could figure out how to use them. But they keep changing.”

As it was, social networking dominated 2007, following several years of huge growth, and it will again dominate in 2008, as the big internet wave. This will occur against a backdrop of rising broadband penetration and double-digit growth in ad spending.

“If I had to choose the most interesting thing about 2008, the social media and social marketing stuff has the greatest buzz around it. It is compelling,” Schatsky says.

The second big wave will be internet video, which started with the success of the user-generated video sites but quickly spread to all manner of web sites. Two-thousand-seven was a huge year, and 2008 will be huge as well.

Yet it will be a challenging year for marketers, and in ways not dissimilar to those for social sites. The challenge will be in coming up with an advertising model uniquely suited to online video.

Is it TV? Is it the movies? Is it the internet?  Or is it something entirely different? What forms of ads work best?

Of the two, social media and video, social media has the deeper roots. MySpace launched in 2003, and by 2005 it had grown so that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. jumped in to purchase it for $580 million.

In 2007, the momentum of social media was picked up and carried by the surging growth of Facebook, following a change in rules that expanded its user base from college kids to anyone over 13.

More strong growth is ahead. EMarketer is forecasting that the percentage of U.S. adult internet users visiting social networks at least once a month will grow from 37 percent in 2007 to one half of the adult internet population in 2011.

Among teens, eMarketer forecasts a rise from 70 percent to 84 percent in the same period.

As for ad spending on these sites, eMarketer expects that to nearly double in 2008, to $1.6 billion from $920 million in 2007. And even then it will be but a small part of total internet ad spending, pegged to reach $27.5 billion in 2008.

For online video, both JupiterResearch and eMarketer are forecasting that ad spending will quadruple over the next four years up from $775 million this year, while also remaining but a small part of total online ad spending.

Borrell Associates, a company that researches local internet, also sees fast growth. “There are a lot of conditions combining to make that a rapid growth area,” says Colby Atwood, president of Borrell, who cites the high uptake of broadband as one.

In fact, Atwood sees the move into online video as part of a larger trend. Advertisers, he believes, are beginning to move their ad money away from traditional forms of online advertising, like popups, banner ads and listings. Instead they are moving more money into paid search, email and online video. This is something that he expects to continue in 2008.

“These areas are all popular because they are easier to measure, and easier to calculate return on investment,” says Atwood.

It is also a symptom of the fact that folks are learning how to use the web in ways they hadn’t thought of initially.

“As people learn how to take advantage of the web, we will see more and more advertising that we just couldn’t have done in the past medium. A lot before has looked like TV or newspaper advertising," says Atwood. "We are growing past that now."

Meanwhile, in online ratings for the week ended Dec. 9, according to Nielsen Online, Microsoft reclaimed the top spot among parent companies, followed by Google, Yahoo, Time Warner and News Corp. Online. For the second straight week, the top five brands were Google, Yahoo, MSN/Windows Live, Microsoft and AOL Media Network.

NexTag was the No. 1 advertiser with 8.5 million impressions, followed by No. 2 Countrywide Financial Corporation at 6.9 million. With nearly 36.7 million ads served, Yahoo was again the top advertising site, well ahead of No. 2 MySpace at 3.9 million.
 
Sessions per person per week were even to last week at 17, and domains visited per person were down two to 41. PC time per person slipped 1 percent from the previous week to 18 hours and 5 minutes.

 

 

Top 25 parent companies
Through Dec. 9

#

Parent

Unique Audience (000)

 Reach %

Time Spent per Person (hh:mm:ss)

1

Microsoft

87,081

62.3

0:43:03

2

Google

86,344

61.8

0:36:13

3

Yahoo!

78,589

56.2

1:07:41

4

Time Warner

69,717

49.9

1:25:20

5

News Corp. Online

42,507

30.4

0:49:08

6

eBay

37,984

27.2

0:56:45

7

Amazon

34,537

24.7

0:19:17

8

InterActiveCorp

31,341

22.4

0:13:03

9

Wikimedia Foundation

22,475

16.1

0:09:13

10

Apple Computer

21,721

15.5

0:29:22

11

Walt Disney Internet Group

21,619

15.5

0:20:17

12

New York Times Company

20,796

14.9

0:11:24

13

Landmark Communications

20,499

14.7

0:10:23

14

AT&T Inc.

19,007

13.6

0:21:01

15

Wal-Mart Stores

15,923

11.4

0:12:57

16

E.W. Scripps Company

15,889

11.4

0:05:34

17

Target Corp.

15,855

11.3

0:07:17

18

RealNetworks, Inc.

15,851

11.3

0:20:25

19

Bank of America

13,210

9.5

0:22:11

20

Verizon Communications

12,435

8.9

0:20:12

21

CNET Networks

12,328

8.8

0:07:49

22

Comcast Corp.

12,097

8.7

0:33:23

23

United Online

11,863

8.5

0:32:04

24

CBS Corporation

11,589

8.3

0:15:42

25

Viacom Digital

11,398

8.2

0:26:53

Source: Nielsen Online

 

Top 25 brands
Through Dec. 9

 

Parent

Unique Audience (000)

Reach %

Time spent per person (hh:mm:ss)

1

Google

80,048

57.3

0:27:29

2

Yahoo!

77,632

55.5

1:07:54

3

MSN/Windows Live

63,416

45.4

0:41:45

4

Microsoft

57,571

41.2

0:18:39

5

AOL Media Network

56,333

40.3

1:36:52

6

Fox Interactive Media

36,669

26.2

0:52:47

7

eBay

32,116

23.0

1:00:36

8

YouTube

31,262

22.4

0:24:07

9

Amazon

30,804

22.0

0:19:22

10

Wikipedia

22,191

15.9

0:09:10

11

Apple

21,721

15.5

0:29:22

12

Weather Channel

19,053

13.6

0:10:27

13

Ask Search Network

17,938

12.8

0:13:17

14

CNN Digital Network

16,534

11.8

0:16:18

15

Real Network

15,851

11.3

0:20:25

16

Target

15,567

11.1

0:07:15

17

Blogger

15,122

10.8

0:08:21

18

Wal-Mart Stores

14,536

10.4

0:13:00

19

About.com

13,681

9.8

0:04:42

20

AT&T

13,629

9.8

0:24:53

21

Bank of America

12,757

9.1

0:22:20

22

PayPal

10,791

7.7

0:12:53

23

Comcast

9,855

7.1

0:39:50

24

Chase

9,769

7.0

0:17:24

25

ESPN

9,273

6.6

0:21:16

Source: Nielsen Online

 

Top 25 advertisers 
(excludes house ads)
Through Dec. 9

#

Company

Impressions (000)

1

NexTag, Inc.

8,497,580

2

Countrywide Financial Corporation

6,870,762

3

Low Rate Source

4,878,905

4

InterActiveCorp

2,700,276

5

HSBC Holdings plc

2,425,041

6

Sprint Corporation

2,356,057

7

AT&T Corp.

1,478,407

8

eBay, Inc.

1,470,024

9

Experian Group Limited

1,381,246

10

Wachovia Corporation

1,311,299

11

Boost Mobile LLC

1,133,221

12

Verizon Communications, Inc.

1,096,095

13

Netflix, Inc.

1,073,901

14

Dell Computer Corporation

813,516

15

General Motors Corporation

791,021

16

Low.com

775,409

17

E*TRADE FINANCIAL Corp.

563,433

18

Scottrade, Inc.

514,168

19

American Express Company

512,251

20

Hydroderm Beverly Hills

511,318

21

Ford Motor Company

505,822

22

Fidelity Investments

457,959

23

Vonage Holdings Corp

451,543

24

Bose Corporation

427,349

25

Privacy Matters

419,844

Source: Nielsen Online, AdRelevance

Note: Nielsen Online, AdRelevance service estimated online advertising expenditures account for CPM-based image-based advertising. All reported estimated expenditures and impressions do not account for the following placement types: text only, paid fee services, performance-based campaigns, sponsorships, barters, in-stream ("pre-rolls") players, messenger applications, partnership advertising, promotions and email campaigns. AdRelevance currently does not report estimated spending for paid search advertising. Also, Nielsen Online, AdRelevance reporting data reflects advertising activity served on pages accessible via the World Wide Web and not within AOL's proprietary service.

 

Top 25 advertising sites
(excludes house ads)
Through Dec. 9

 

Company

Impressions (000)

1

Yahoo!

36,694,926

2

MySpace  

3,942,271

3

MSN

1,527,132

4

eBay  

1,365,210

5

AOL.com

1,066,511

6

MSNBC

970,159

7

FOXNEWS.COM  

658,683

8

Facebook  

587,065

9

The Weather Channel

569,587

10

Juno

553,420

11

New York Times

522,661

12

Comcast.net  

496,357

13

NetZero

479,910

14

Amazon  

471,306

15

ESPN.com

386,927

16

CBS SportsLine

382,651

17

YouTube  

378,707

18

MyPoints  

356,483

19

NeoPets  

342,129

20

IMDb  

298,144

21

Photobucket  

254,422

22

Excite

243,881

23

iWon

223,417

24

CNN Money  

204,486

25

NFL.com  

179,050

Source: Nielsen Online, AdRelevance

Note: Nielsen Online, AdRelevance service estimated online advertising expenditures account for CPM-based image-based advertising. All reported estimated expenditures and impressions do not account for the following placement types: text only, paid fee services, performance-based campaigns, sponsorships, barters, in-stream ("pre-rolls") players, messenger applications, partnership advertising, promotions and email campaigns. AdRelevance currently does not report estimated spending for paid search advertising. Above data does not include any house advertising activity. Also, Nielsen Online, AdRelevance reporting data reflects advertising activity served on pages accessible via the World Wide Web and not within AOL's proprietary service.

 

Average use
Through Dec. 9

 

Current Week

Last Week

% Change

Sessions/Visits per Person

17

17

0

Domains Visited per Person

41

43

-4.65

PC Time per Person

18:05:45

18:19:09

-1.22

Active Digital Media Universe

139,827,685

138,765,113

0.77

Current Digital Media Universe Estimate

218,671,137

217,779,625

0.41

Source: Nielsen Online

 

 

 



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