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Ad spending
goes limp as 2007 ends


Economic turmoil spreads to the media marketplace

Mar 25, 2008

The U.S economy has been on a roller-coaster ride, and the question was just when and how severely it would affect the media economy.

There are at least some answers. Though 2007 was not a strong year to begin with, the slowdown really kicked in during the fourth quarter, according to a report out this morning from TNS Media Intelligence.

Ad spending stopped growing and actually declined over the three months, sliding 0.1 percent. That left total 2007 spending also about flat, with a gain of just 0.2 percent over 2006.

More significant, the malaise that set in over those months has continued into this year, according to TNS, raising new worries that the ad economy will see yet another flat year, despite heavy spending on elections and the Summer Olympics in China.

It certainly puts into doubt a TNS forecast released in January for a 4.2 percent growth in media spending in 2008.

Indeed, media buyers report an increasing hesitancy on the part of clients to commit to aggressive media plans as they keep one eye on Wall Street and the other on Main Street for further signs of recession and consumers cutting back.

Within the various media tracked by TNS, the internet led in spending growth in 2007, up 15.9 percent for the year, to $11.31 billion (see charts, below).

But also seeing solid growth were consumer magazines, which were up 7 percent, to $24.43 billion, despite weak performances by such important categories as business magazines and newsweeklies.

Total spending on television was actually down for the year, off 1.7 percent, to $64.42 billion, dragged down by spot TV, which was off 10.2 percent for the year, and network TV, which was down 2.0 percent. Cable led TV spending increases, up 6.5 percent.


Total ad spending in 2007
Broken down by media

MEDIA

Jan-Dec 2007
(Millions)

Jan-Dec 2006
(Millions)

%
CHANGE

TELEVISION MEDIA $ 64,421.0 $ 65,552.3 -1.7 %
  • NETWORK TV 2
$ 22,430.7 $ 22,887.8 -2.0 %
  • CABLE TV
$ 17,842.2 $ 16,746.1 6.5 %
  • SPOT TV 3
$ 15,589.4 $ 17,355.7 -10.2 %
  • SPANISH LANGUAGE TV 4
$ 4,385.9 $ 4,327.6 1.3 %
  • SYNDICATION - NATIONAL
$ 4,172.9 $ 4,235.1 -1.5 %
MAGAZINE MEDIA 5 $ 30,327.5 $ 28,742.5 5.5 %
  • CONSUMER MAGAZINES
$ 24,431.2 $ 22,830.0 7.0 %
  • B-TO-B MAGAZINES
$ 3,355.3 $ 3,501.0 -4.2 %
  • SUNDAY MAGAZINES
$ 1,878.0 $ 1,751.9 7.2 %
  • LOCAL MAGAZINES
$ 435.5 $ 453.5 -4.0 %
  • SPANISH LANGUAGE MAG
$ 227.5 $ 206.1 10.4 %
NEWSPAPER MEDIA $ 26,362.5 $ 27,918.7 -5.6 %
  • NEWSPAPERS (LOCAL)
$ 22,660.6 $ 24,014.4 -5.6 %
  • NATIONAL NEWSPAPERS
$ 3,346.6 $ 3,540.0 -5.5 %
  • SPANISH LANGUAGE NEWSPAPERS
$ 355.3 $ 364.2 -2.5 %
INTERNET 6 $ 11,309.4 $ 9,754.6 15.9 %
RADIO MEDIA $ 10,691.7 $ 11,084.6 -3.5 %
  • LOCAL RADIO 7
$ 7,187.0 $ 7,385.1 -2.7 %
  • NATIONAL SPOT RADIO
$ 2,502.6 $ 2,695.0 -7.1 %
  • NETWORK RADIO
$ 1,002.2 $ 1,004.5 -0.2 %
OUTDOOR $ 4,020.4 $ 3,831.2 4.9 %
FSIs 8 $ 1,861.0 $ 1,828.6 1.8 %
TOTAL 9 $ 148,993.5 $ 148,712.4 0.2 %
Figures are based on the TNS media intelligence Stradegy(TM) multimedia ad expenditure database across all TNS MI measured media, including: Network TV; Spot TV (101 DMAs); Cable TV (45 networks); Syndication TV; Hispanic Network TV; Consumer Magazines (210 publications);,Sunday Magazines (5 publications); Local Magazines (28 publications); Hispanic Magazines (29 publications); Business-to-Business Magazines (317 publications); Local Newspapers (144 publications); National Newspapers (3 publications); Hispanic Newspapers (52 publications); Network Radio (5 networks); Spot Radio; Local Radio (34 markets); Internet; and Outdoor. Figures do not include public service announcement (PSA) data. 2. Network TV figures include the WB, UPN, CW and MyTV networks. 3. Spot TV figures do not include Hispanic Spot TV data. 4. Spanish Language TV figures include 4 national networks and 43 local stations. 5. Magazine media includes Publishers Information Bureau (PIB) data. 6. Internet figures are based on display advertising. They do not include paid search or broadband video advertising. 7. Local Radio includes expenditures for 34 markets in the U.S. as provided by Miller Kaplan Arase.
8. FSI data represents distribution costs only. 9. The sum of the individual media may differ from the sub-totals or grand total due to rounding.
Source: TNS media intelligence

 

Share of Measured Advertising Spending by Media
2004 Through 2007

MEDIA TYPE 2007
2006
2005
2004
NATIONAL TV 32.0 % 31.5 % 31.6 % 31.0 %
MAGAZINES 20.4 % 19.3 % 19.8 % 19.0 %
NEWSPAPERS 17.7 % 18.8 % 20.2 % 20.4 %
LOCAL TV 11.3 % 12.5 % 11.5 % 13.1 %
INTERNET 7.6 % 6.6 % 5.8 % 5.3 %
RADIO 7.2 % 7.5 % 7.7 % 7.8 %
ALL OTHER 3.9 % 3.8 % 3.5 % 3.3 %
TOTAL 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 % 100.0 %
Source: TNS media intelligence


Lisa Snedeker is a staff writer for Media Life.




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