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With the new fall television season
all but upon us, NBC would seem to have the least to look forward to of
the broadcast networks, having finished at No. 4 last season and with
media buyers pretty ho-hum about its new shows.
But what matters ultimately is how viewers feel, and as it turns
out America is surprisingly upbeat about the network's new lineup. Or so
goes the buzz.
And it's not just over Martha Stewart and her upcoming
"Apprentice" spinoff.
Initiative, the huge media
buying concern, learned this by scanning some 15 million online blogs and discussion boards
in an effort to find
out which new shows and which stars of new shows people were talking
about.
The buying firm found that 41
percent of the most-discussed stars on the 10 most-talked-about new
programs are on NBC. Stewart alone accounts for nearly 14 percent
of these conversations, making her the most talked-about star of any new
show. Another 5.5 percent of online chats focusing on
new programs center on Jason Lee of NBC sitcom “My Name is Earl.” Also
generating a lot of buzz were Chris Rock of UPN’s “Everybody Hates Chris” and Jennifer
Love Hewitt of CBS’s “Ghost Whisperer.”
“The most buzz or
conversations about TV shows are about the actors associated with these
projects,” explains Stacey Lynn Koerner, executive
vice president and director of global research integration at Initiative.
“NBC
shows have the lion’s share of the conversation. This is a good time for
them. They’ve created shows and stars that people are interested in,
which is a good sign that they will get some sampling when they premiere
these shows.”
Focusing on the stars of
the 10 most-discussed upcoming programs, Initiative found that CBS ranks
No. 2 behind NBC, with 17.1 percent of online discussions. UPN is No. 3
with 16.1 percent, followed by ABC at 12.3 percent, the WB at 8.3 percent
and Fox at only 4.9 percent.
Although the WB does not
rank high overall, Jensen Ackles and Jared Padalecki of the WB drama
“Supernatural” rank among the 10 most-talked-about stars.
The actors most often
discussed are Stewart, Rock, Hewitt, Geena Davis of ABC’s “Commander
in Chief,” Lee, Stuart Townsend of ABC’s “Night Stalker,” Freddie
Prinze Jr. of ABC’s “Freddie,” Amy Grant of NBC reality show
“Three Wishes,” Ackles and Padalecki, and Alyson Hannigan from CBS’s
“How I Met Your Mother.”
Initiative uses its
findings to determine the programs and stars that would be a good fit for
its clients’ advertising and marketing strategies.
In addition to measuring
online chat with proprietary tool PropheSEE, Initiative also compiles
findings on the quality of that chat, meaning whether it’s positive or
negative. The media buying agency then uses this information to help its
clients find the best vehicles for traditional ad messages but also for
product placement and off-television marketing tie-ins.
Although Initiative’s
PropheSEE isn’t used to predict the fall season’s new hits, Koerner
says positive online chat suggests which shows will get millions of people
checking out early episodes.
Moreover, Initiative
combines three measures – buzz, positive conversations and buzz about
specific actors – to determine the programs that will most captivate
viewers, which in turn suggests to advertisers programs that will keep
viewers tuned in during commercial breaks.
Focusing on what
Initiative says are likely to be two of the toughest time slots this fall:
Tuesdays and Wednesdays, both at 9 p.m., The WB’s
“Supernatural” ranks No. 1 in this fan engagement index in the Tuesday
slot, while the network’s “Related” slightly trails NBC’s
“E-Ring” in the Wednesday time period.
“This
is not necessarily about which shows will generate the biggest
audiences,” says Koerner. “It’s about which [shows] will engage fans
and create a fan culture.”
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