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How NBC might
rejigger its primetime

But don't expect a mega-makeover of its schedule

By Toni Fitzgerald

   It would seem that NBC needs a major overhaul of its schedule after a season in which it has fallen from first to fourth among adults 18-49 and will finish more than 15 percent down from last year.
   But as the network gets set for its upfront presentation Monday, it’s possible that it will be replacing as little as three and a half hours of programming. At least three new dramas and one comedy are sure to make the schedule. 
   The network needs just one or two of them to hit big like "Desperate Housewives" in order to reascend to the top of primetime.
   What follows is a look at NBC's likely schedule for the coming season, based on a variety of sources, from analyses by the big media agencies to what the network has said to snippets of speculation by media buyers. 
   NBC’s schedule remains strong at 10 p.m. every night, and shows like “West Wing,” “The Apprentice,” “Fear Factor” and “Will & Grace,” while nowhere as strong as they once were, will be back between 8 and 9.
   Tuesday needs the most help. It could get up to 90 minutes of new or shifted programming, while Sunday, Wednesday and perhaps Friday will each get an hour. Thursday may remain intact or get a new sitcom at 8:30 if “Will” gets pushed to Tuesday, as many anticipate. Monday is the only night that definitely won’t get some sort of tweak.
   NBC may rise to three hours of sitcoms after only two hours this season, or six shows versus four. “Joey,” “Will” and “Scrubs,” which have all been renewed, will take three of those spots.
   “Will” may move to Tuesdays at 9, followed by “Scrubs.” If NBC goes with comedies at 8, the latest rumors has “My Name is Earl,” about a lottery winner, joining the schedule. Other possibilities are “Thick & Thin,” about a woman who loses 300 pounds, and “Four Kings,” following four longtime friends.
   Tuesday’s “Committed” is also gone. The fate of “The Office” is a bit less clear. Though it flopped on Tuesdays, and its finale numbers were especially poor, it showed potential in its Thursday premiere.
   NBC may keep it as a midseason replacement. The network probably will take advantage of this winter’s Olympics to make a major midseason push after the Games.
   “Fear Factor,” “Las Vegas” and “Medium” will return on Monday. On Tuesday “Law & Order: SVU” will remain at 10. Or NBC may move Sunday’s “Law & Order: Criminal Intent” to Tuesdays at 9 after an hour of sitcoms in anticipation of rearranging its schedule in 2006 for “Sunday Night Football.”
   Wednesday’s 9 p.m. “West Wing” and 10 p.m. “Law & Order” will remain. “The Biggest Loser 2” takes over the 8 p.m. slot this summer, and could run into the fall if it does well. That means NBC won’t have to decide on a “Wing” lead-in for a while yet. The network hasn’t had a strong show there in years.
   The supernatural sea drama “Fathom” will probably make the schedule, either on Wednesdays at 8, Fridays at 9, or Sunday at 8 or 9. If “Fathom” doesn’t take the Wednesday slot, another possibility is the Pentagon drama “The e-Ring.” Both will reportedly make the schedule.
   It seems unlikely that “Revelations,” NBC’s limited-run series currently airing at 9, will return after a major ratings falloff following a strong premiere. But “Book of Daniel,” another religious-centered drama, may get a tryout.
   Thursday’s only big change should be a new sitcom at 8:30, after “Joey.” Martha Stewart’s “Apprentice” spinoff will likely take the 9 p.m. slot. Though Stewart and original star Donald Trump could both have a version of the show this fall, NBC probably realizes that “Apprentice” burnout has set in, and it would be wise to give Trump a break.
   On Friday, “Dateline” should stay at 8 p.m. and “Law & Order: Trial by Jury” at 10. Rookie “Medical Investigation” may return at 9 after a so-so season at 10.
   Saturdays will remain “Law & Order” rerun nights.
   On Sunday, “Dateline” will stay at 7. A new drama will replace “American Dreams” and “The Contender” at 8, possibly “Fathom” or “e-Ring.” If “Criminal Intent” moves, which isn’t that likely, a new drama could replace it as well. “Crossing Jordan” will return at 10.


May 12, 2005 © 2005 Media Life


- Toni Fitzgerald is a staff writer for Media Life.


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